Mikko Dufva is Sitra’s leading foresight specialist. In his work, he examines trends and weak signals, the tensions between different development paths and mental images connected with the future. Mikko has extensive experience in foresight studies and a doctorate in Science (Technology) on creation of futures knowledge and systemic foresight.
Megatrends may seem quaint in current complex, even chaotic times. What use are depictions of long-term changes, when everything seems so rapid and the focus should be on surprises, wild cards, discontinuities and emerging issues? But perhaps in turbulent times there is a growing need for some kind of frame or a map, no matter how flawed, as a starting point for sensemaking. The megatrends 2020 report by the Finnish Innovation Fund Sitra is used as an example of such a map, with instructions and caveats on its use.